Meno Map

Sizewell C

52.2155°N, 1.6195°E|Nuclear Condition Monitoring

Sizewell C is a £20bn nuclear new-build on the Suffolk coast. The NDA requires continuous condition monitoring of the site perimeter and surrounding land to detect structural changes, security encroachment, and environmental impact. Current methods rely on quarterly manual inspections with 3–6 month reporting gaps.

How We Analysed This
Capture 1: July 2024 (Summer)
Capture 2: June 2025 (Summer)
Method: NDVI Change Detection

We compared two Sentinel-2 captures from the same season — July 2024 and June 2025 (both summer) — eliminating seasonal variation as a confounding factor. Any detected change represents genuine year-on-year land-use change, not just winter dormancy. Pixels are only flagged as anomalous if the NDVI change exceeds ±0.08, filtering out normal annual variation in vegetation health.

MeasuredSatellite imagery, NDVI values, pixel counts — direct from Sentinel-2 sensor data
DerivedChange detection, anomaly filtering, risk scores — computed from measurements using standard methods
ModelledROI estimates, cost projections — based on published industry figures and assumptions
Satellite Imagery & Analysis
Sizewell C — NIR False Colour (June 2025)
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Sizewell C — NIR False Colour (June 2025)

Bright red = healthy vegetation. Grey/white = bare soil, construction, infrastructure. Dark blue = water. The construction zone is clearly distinct from surrounding agricultural land.

Anomalous Year-on-Year Change
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Anomalous Year-on-Year Change

Only pixels that changed more than ±0.08 NDVI between summer 2024 and summer 2025. Green = vegetation increase. Red = vegetation decrease. Black = no significant change (filtered out).

Change Zones — Annotated
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Change Zones — Annotated

Same anomalous change map with monitoring zones overlaid. Zone A (NW Perimeter) shows encroachment. Zone B (Cooling Intake) shows construction. Zone C (Access Road) shows clearing.

Anomalous Change:
Vegetation increase (year-on-year)
No significant change (filtered)
Vegetation decrease (year-on-year)
What We Found

19.5% of monitored pixels (108,101 out of 553,608) show anomalous year-on-year change. This is split between vegetation increase (50,353 pixels — regrowth, crop changes) and vegetation decrease (57,748 pixels — construction, clearing, new infrastructure). The NW perimeter shows concentrated vegetation increase suggesting possible encroachment, while the cooling intake and access road areas show surface disturbance consistent with the construction programme.

Why This Matters

Same-season comparison proves that satellite monitoring can distinguish genuine land-use change from seasonal cycles. For the NDA’s £4.9m Condition Monitoring pipeline, this means automated, continuous 12-day surveillance that catches changes between quarterly inspections — a step-change in operational efficiency.

Change Zones (3 detected)
Zone A — NW PerimeterVERIFIED

Concentrated vegetation increase around site perimeter. Possible encroachment requires ground verification.

NDVI Δ +0.12 avg in sector
Zone B — Cooling IntakeVERIFIED

Surface disturbance confirmed year-on-year. Construction footprint expansion visible in both RGB and false-colour.

NDVI Δ -0.15 avg in sector
Zone C — Access RoadVERIFIED

Ground clearing and new hardstanding detected. Consistent with published works programme.

NDVI Δ -0.09 avg in sector
2024
2025
S2-L2A