Meno Map

Dounreay

58.577°N, -3.74°E|Nuclear Decommissioning

Dounreay on the Caithness coast is Scotland’s largest nuclear decommissioning project — a former fast reactor research facility. Its remote location and harsh coastal environment make manual inspection particularly expensive and weather-dependent. The site represents the opposite end of the activity spectrum from Hinkley Point C, testing whether the system can distinguish genuine change from background noise.

How We Analysed This
Capture 1: July 2024 (Summer)
Capture 2: July 2025 (Summer)
Method: NDVI Change Detection

Same-season comparison (July 2024 vs July 2025) using Sentinel-2 NDVI analysis. At 11.0% anomalous change, Dounreay shows significantly less activity than active construction sites (Hinkley 51.2%, Sellafield 33.1%), which validates the system’s ability to correctly characterise a site in managed decline rather than active construction.

MeasuredSatellite imagery, NDVI values, pixel counts — direct from Sentinel-2 sensor data
DerivedChange detection, anomaly filtering, risk scores — computed from measurements using standard methods
ModelledROI estimates, cost projections — based on published industry figures and assumptions
Satellite Imagery & Analysis
Dounreay — Satellite View (July 2025)
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Dounreay — Satellite View (July 2025)

The former reactor complex on the Caithness coast, surrounded by Scottish moorland. Pentland Firth visible to the north. The most remote nuclear site in the UK — manual inspection requires significant travel.

Anomalous Year-on-Year Change
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Anomalous Year-on-Year Change

Only 11% anomalous — the lowest across all sites. The dark (stable) areas confirm this is a site in managed decline, not active construction. Change is concentrated in the central complex.

Change Zones — Annotated
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Change Zones — Annotated

Zone A (NW Perimeter) is completely GREEN — 0% anomalous. Zone B (Central Complex) shows targeted demolition. This contrast validates the system’s sensitivity calibration.

Anomalous Change:
Vegetation increase (year-on-year)
No significant change (filtered)
Vegetation decrease (year-on-year)
What We Found

Only 11.0% of monitored pixels (45,172 out of 409,287) show anomalous change — the lowest rate across all fully-analysed sites. The NW Perimeter is entirely GREEN (0% anomalous), confirming site stability. The Central Complex shows localised change (20.8%) consistent with targeted demolition works. The Coastal Buffer shows moderate change (14.6%) reflecting the harsh North Atlantic environment.

Why This Matters

Dounreay proves that satellite monitoring correctly differentiates site activity levels. A decommissioning site in managed decline shows 11% change vs 51% at an active mega-construction site. This calibration is essential for automated alerting — the system needs to know what ‘normal’ looks like for each site category. For the NDA, this means reliable monitoring across their entire estate, from active sites to dormant ones.

Change Zones (2 detected)
Zone B — Central ComplexVERIFIED

Localised demolition activity. 20.8% anomalous with high magnitude — consistent with targeted building removal.

NDVI Δ avg magnitude 0.18
Zone A — NW PerimeterVERIFIED

Completely stable. 0% anomalous pixels. Confirms site boundary integrity.

NDVI Δ 0.00 (no change)
2024
2025
S2-L2A