Meno Map

Sellafield

54.4333°N, -3.495°E|Nuclear Decommissioning

Sellafield in Cumbria is Europe’s most complex nuclear decommissioning site, managing decades of legacy waste and hundreds of buildings across a sprawling coastal complex. The NDA’s £4.9m Condition Monitoring pipeline specifically targets automated surveillance of this site. Current monitoring relies on manual inspection cycles with significant gaps in temporal coverage.

How We Analysed This
Capture 1: August 2024 (Summer)
Capture 2: July 2025 (Summer)
Method: NDVI Change Detection

Same-season comparison (August 2024 vs July 2025) using Sentinel-2 NDVI analysis. The 33.1% anomalous change rate reflects ongoing decommissioning activity, facility modifications, and environmental changes across the complex. Anomaly threshold of ±0.08 NDVI isolates genuine year-on-year change.

MeasuredSatellite imagery, NDVI values, pixel counts — direct from Sentinel-2 sensor data
DerivedChange detection, anomaly filtering, risk scores — computed from measurements using standard methods
ModelledROI estimates, cost projections — based on published industry figures and assumptions
Satellite Imagery & Analysis
Sellafield — Satellite View (July 2025)
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Sellafield — Satellite View (July 2025)

The Sellafield complex (white/grey) dominates the Cumbrian coastline. The scale of Europe’s most complex decommissioning site is immediately apparent from space. Irish Sea to the west, farmland to the east.

Anomalous Year-on-Year Change
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Anomalous Year-on-Year Change

33.1% of pixels show genuine change between summers. The complex itself and its coastal buffer show the highest change rates — consistent with active decommissioning and coastal dynamics.

Change Zones — Annotated
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Change Zones — Annotated

Zone D (Coastal Buffer) at 43.6% is the most active. Zone C (Access Corridor) at 10% is the most stable. This pattern is consistent with known site operations.

Anomalous Change:
Vegetation increase (year-on-year)
No significant change (filtered)
Vegetation decrease (year-on-year)
What We Found

33.1% of monitored pixels (187,984 out of 568,075) show anomalous change. The coastal buffer zone shows the highest anomaly rate (43.6%) driven by coastal erosion and facility-adjacent changes. The NW perimeter shows 39.7% anomalous change consistent with ongoing decommissioning works. The access road area is relatively stable at 10.0% (AMBER), suggesting completed infrastructure.

Why This Matters

Sellafield is the direct procurement target for the NDA’s £4.9m Condition Monitoring pipeline. This analysis demonstrates that satellite monitoring can detect and quantify decommissioning-related surface changes at the site, providing continuous 12-day oversight between manual inspections. The ITT closes April 2026 with award expected July 2026.

Change Zones (3 detected)
Zone D — Coastal BufferVERIFIED

Highest anomaly rate on site (43.6%). Combination of coastal dynamics and facility-adjacent surface changes.

NDVI Δ avg magnitude 0.20
Zone A — NW PerimeterVERIFIED

39.7% anomalous. Active decommissioning zone with significant surface disturbance year-on-year.

NDVI Δ avg magnitude 0.16
Zone B — Central ComplexVERIFIED

28.8% anomalous. Core facility modifications detected in the main complex area.

NDVI Δ avg magnitude 0.17
2024
2025
S2-L2A